Strictly Come Dancing 2015 – Pre Week 5 Betting Update

It’s been quite a while since we last had a look at the betting for Strictly and there’s been quite a shakeup in the market following the three eliminations and the performances since our last look. So let’s take a quick look at the current prices from Coral!

Outright Winner

Jay and Aliona – 5/4
Peter and Janette– 7/2
Katie and Anton – 6/1
Helen and Aljaž – 9/1
Kellie and Kevin – 14/1
Georgia and Giovanni – 14/1
Anita and Gleb – 14/1
Jamelia and Tristan– 66/1
Kirsty and Brendan – 100/1
Ainsley and Natalie – 100/1
Carol and Pasha – 100/1
Jeremy and Karen – 100/1

We have a new favourite. Following their week 3 Jive, Jay and Aliona have emerged as the new favourites to lift the glitter ball. At one point last week they were odds on but their drop down the judges leaderboard last week has made them a slightly more attractive 5/4. It’s still very early days though and it is possible that they peaked too soon. Peter Andre moves to second favourite at 7/2 which is more attractive than his early price.

Katie and Anton are rising up the book in a similar way to their rise up the judges leaderboard and are now 3rd favourites at a still fairly attractive 6/1.  A lot of people would love this to be Anton’s year, most of all anyone who took their early prices which were in the region of 40/1 before the series began.

There’s some slight drifting in the middle of the board. Helen and Aljaž go to 9/1 which is also a tempting price and Anita and Kevin are a very attractive 14/1. At the bottom end of the book no change for Carol and Pasha and Jeremy and Karen who remain no hopers at 100/1 however they’ve been joined by Kirsty and Brendan who despite being one the early favourites have not lived up to their early prices and who have been my bets for elimination for the last 3 weeks! Jamelia and Tristan have also drifted out to a 66/1 shot.

4th Elimination

Kirsty and Brendan – 11/10
Carol and Pasha – 3/1
Ainsley and Natalie – 4/1
Jamelia and Tristan – 6/1
Jeremy and Karen – 10/1
Georgia and Giovannia – 40/1
Anita and Gleb – 40/1
Kellie and Kevin – 66/1
Katie and Anton – 80/1
Helen and Aljaž – 80/1
Peter and Janette – 100/1
Jay and Aliona – 100/1

Still basically a flip of the winning market Kirsty and Brendan are clear favourites to be eliminated due to a combination of their generally poor performance and them being in the dance off last week. However the possibility of a Dance Off Bounce from the viewer votes and the completely unattractive virtually even money price means they won’t be getting my bet this week like they have every week so far.

There’s more value to be had lower down the list with Carol and Pasha a pretty good bet at 3/1 although they’ve not been in a dance off so we don’t know much about their viewer vote as yet. Previous Dance Off survivors Ainsley and Natalie or Jamelia and Tristan at 4/1 and 6/1 respectively seem better bets and my money may well go on Jamelia this week (as it did in week 2 along with Kirsty) as Ainsley at least has some comedy factor even though Jeremy seems to being marketed as the comedy contestant this year and comedy contestants usually last longer than they should do!

Not much to say about the rest as it would take a huge surprise for any of them to be anywhere near the dance off and their prices reflect this!

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Prices and offers correct at time of publishing

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